Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000516 0.000598 0.000685 0.000785 0.000896 0.001015 0.001151
2025-07-06 0.000380 0.000489 0.000615 0.000769 0.000951 0.001159 0.001410
2025-07-13 0.000324 0.000447 0.000596 0.000787 0.001022 0.001299 0.001646
2025-07-20 0.000278 0.000410 0.000577 0.000799 0.001082 0.001425 0.001866
2025-07-27 0.000236 0.000370 0.000546 0.000790 0.001110 0.001508 0.002033
2025-08-03 0.000199 0.000332 0.000515 0.000775 0.001127 0.001575 0.002178
2025-08-10 0.000177 0.000311 0.000503 0.000784 0.001174 0.001680 0.002371
2025-08-17 0.000156 0.000290 0.000487 0.000786 0.001208 0.001767 0.002544
2025-08-24 0.000131 0.000259 0.000455 0.000760 0.001202 0.001800 0.002644
2025-08-31 0.000111 0.000232 0.000425 0.000736 0.001197 0.001831 0.002741
2025-09-07 0.000097 0.000216 0.000411 0.000733 0.001220 0.001902 0.002892
2025-09-14 0.000086 0.000201 0.000399 0.000731 0.001244 0.001972 0.003044
2025-09-21 0.000075 0.000185 0.000381 0.000721 0.001257 0.002028 0.003177
2025-09-28 0.000064 0.000168 0.000362 0.000706 0.001260 0.002071 0.003294
2025-10-05 0.000059 0.000163 0.000362 0.000723 0.001313 0.002185 0.003514
2025-10-12 0.000054 0.000157 0.000359 0.000735 0.001356 0.002288 0.003718
2025-10-19 0.000047 0.000145 0.000346 0.000726 0.001368 0.002342 0.003855
2025-10-26 0.000040 0.000133 0.000330 0.000712 0.001370 0.002381 0.003968
2025-11-02 0.000036 0.000128 0.000326 0.000721 0.001409 0.002477 0.004166
2025-11-09 0.000032 0.000121 0.000319 0.000722 0.001434 0.002553 0.004337
2025-11-16 0.000027 0.000108 0.000299 0.000698 0.001416 0.002560 0.004403
2025-11-23 0.000022 0.000097 0.000281 0.000675 0.001400 0.002569 0.004472
2025-11-30 0.000019 0.000091 0.000273 0.000673 0.001417 0.002631 0.004624